Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.009863 0.011725 0.013993 0.017014 0.021011 0.026242 0.033826
2025-08-10 0.007291 0.009353 0.012163 0.016434 0.023078 0.033658 0.053383
2025-08-17 0.005811 0.007791 0.010678 0.015450 0.023734 0.038981 0.074022
2025-08-24 0.004885 0.006762 0.009634 0.014692 0.024274 0.044222 0.100046
2025-08-31 0.004421 0.006310 0.009343 0.015039 0.026881 0.055223 0.157015
2025-09-07 0.003933 0.005735 0.008726 0.014612 0.027730 0.062831 0.220594
2025-09-14 0.003514 0.005209 0.008097 0.013995 0.027914 0.068920 0.297702
2025-09-21 0.003251 0.004905 0.007807 0.013983 0.029554 0.081117 0.468663
2025-09-28 0.003106 0.004783 0.007824 0.014622 0.033199 0.104880 0.966136
2025-10-05 0.003048 0.004803 0.008109 0.015939 0.039572 0.151541 3.341176
2025-10-12 0.002919 0.004677 0.008083 0.016509 0.044013 0.199636 14.807924
2025-10-19 0.002750 0.004459 0.007836 0.016457 0.046299 0.241227 114.673930
2025-10-26 0.002585 0.004250 0.007617 0.016542 0.049751 0.312628 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002390 0.003964 0.007199 0.015995 0.050422 0.365706 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002189 0.003651 0.006682 0.015047 0.048792 0.387762 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002026 0.003397 0.006267 0.014316 0.047862 0.421950 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001947 0.003305 0.006209 0.014651 0.052605 0.604192 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001831 0.003128 0.005932 0.014239 0.053136 0.714916 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001716 0.002943 0.005618 0.013643 0.052299 0.791382 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001643 0.002841 0.005489 0.013632 0.055090 1.071848 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001607 0.002814 0.005539 0.014249 0.062727 1.971160 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001602 0.002851 0.005752 0.015519 0.077270 6.174529 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001564 0.002812 0.005767 0.016068 0.087345 18.885629 NaN